Neglect of Probability
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Neglect of probability is the tendency to completely disregard probability when making a decision under uncertainty.
/ Probability blindness
Category
Misunderstanding numbers, probabilities, and statistics
Biases that affect our understanding and interpretation of statistics, probabilities, and numerical data.
2 min read
Neglect of probability is the tendency to completely disregard probability when making a decision under uncertainty.
/ Probability blindness
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The ludic fallacy is the misuse of games to model real-life situations.
/ Gaming fallacy
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Sampling bias is a bias in which a sample is collected in such a way that some members of the intended population have a lower or higher sampling probability than others.
/ Ascertainment bias
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Selection bias is the bias introduced by the selection of individuals, groups or data for analysis in such a way that proper randomization is not achieved.
/ Sampling bias (related)
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Survivorship bias is the logical error of concentrating on the people or things that made it past some selection process and overlooking those that did not, typically because of their lack of visibility.
/ Survival bias
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The Texas sharpshooter fallacy is an informal fallacy which is committed when differences in data are ignored, but similarities are overemphasized. From this reasoning, a false conclusion is inferred.
/ Clustering illusion (related)
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Pareidolia is a specific form of apophenia involving the perception of images or sounds in random stimuli, such as seeing faces in clouds.
/ Face pareidolia
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Apophenia is the tendency to perceive meaningful connections between unrelated things.
/ Patternicity
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The clustering illusion is the tendency to erroneously consider the inevitable 'streaks' or 'clusters' arising in small samples from random distributions to be non-random.
/ Hot hand fallacy (related)