Commitment Bias

Also known as: Escalation of commitment (related), Consistency bias (related)

Commitment bias is a cognitive and social bias in which people remain overly attached to earlier choices, investments, or public stances, giving them more weight than current evidence warrants. The desire to appear consistent—to ourselves and to others—drives continued escalation or defense of a commitment beyond what rational updating would suggest.

Cognitive Biases

/ Consistency and escalation

10 min read

experimental Evidence


Commitment Bias

Commitment bias helps explain why people double down on failing projects, cling to outdated views, or keep investing in activities that no longer serve them. Once we have committed—by signing a contract, taking a public stance, or making an initial investment—we feel internal and external pressure to stay the course.

This bias is closely linked to escalation of commitment and the sunk cost fallacy. Having spent time, money, or reputation on a path, we are reluctant to change direction, even when new information suggests we should.

The Psychology Behind It

People value consistency in their self-image and in how others see them. Admitting that a previous decision was mistaken can feel threatening: it implies that we were wrong, naive, or careless. Public commitments heighten this pressure; the more visible the initial stance, the harder it is to reverse.

Social norms and cultures that prize steadfastness and "sticking to your guns" can intensify commitment bias. Leaders in particular may fear that changing course will be interpreted as weakness or unreliability rather than as learning.

Real-World Examples

In business, managers may continue funding a struggling product line because they championed it originally, interpreting ambiguous signals as signs of eventual turnaround rather than re-evaluating with fresh eyes.

In personal life, individuals may stay in careers, relationships, or educational paths that no longer fit because they have already invested years of effort and worry about how changing direction will be perceived.

In politics, officials may refuse to update positions in light of new evidence because doing so risks accusations of "flip-flopping."

Consequences

Commitment bias can lock people and organizations into suboptimal trajectories. Resources continue to flow to failing initiatives while better options are neglected. In fast-changing environments, an inability to pivot can be especially costly.

At the interpersonal level, refusal to reconsider commitments can damage relationships and trust. Others may see rigid consistency as stubbornness when circumstances clearly warrant change.

How to Mitigate It

Mitigation involves reframing what consistency means. Instead of equating consistency with never changing one’s mind, individuals and organizations can value consistency with current evidence and values. Celebrating thoughtful course corrections sends a signal that updating is a strength.

Structured decision reviews help. Setting explicit checkpoints where commitments are re-examined against predefined criteria can legitimize change. Separating evaluation from ego—by focusing on learning and future improvement rather than blame—reduces defensive clinging to past choices.

On a personal level, it can help to ask, "If I had not already invested in this, would I choose it today?" This counterfactual perspective reduces the grip of prior commitments and sunk costs.

Common Triggers

Public or written commitments

High sunk costs

Typical Contexts

Project and portfolio management

Personal life decisions

Public policy and politics

Mitigation Strategies

Predefined exit criteria: Agree in advance on conditions under which a project or commitment should be revisited or ended.

Effectiveness: high

Difficulty: moderate

Normalize course correction: Create cultural norms that applaud timely pivots based on new evidence rather than punishing them as inconsistency.

Effectiveness: medium

Difficulty: moderate

Potential Decision Harms

Organizations waste substantial resources on doomed projects because leaders feel unable to reverse earlier commitments.

major Severity

Individuals continue in costly paths that no longer fit their goals, sacrificing well-being and alternative opportunities.

moderate Severity

Further Reading

Escalation of commitment and sunk cost

by Various authors • article

Research on how prior investments and public commitments affect persistence.


Related Biases

Explore these related cognitive biases to deepen your understanding

Loaded Language

Loaded language (also known as loaded terms or emotive language) is rhetoric used to influence an audience by using words and phrases with strong connotations.

Cognitive Biases

/ Emotive language

Euphemism

A euphemism is a mild or indirect word or expression substituted for one considered to be too harsh or blunt when referring to something unpleasant or embarrassing.

Cognitive Biases

/ Doublespeak (related)

Paradox of Choice

10 min read

The paradox of choice is the idea that having too many options can make decisions harder, reduce satisfaction, and even lead to decision paralysis.

Cognitive Biases / Choice and complexity

/ Choice Overload

Choice Overload Effect

10 min read

The choice overload effect occurs when having too many options makes it harder to decide, reduces satisfaction, or leads people to avoid choosing at all.

Cognitive Biases / Choice and complexity

/ Paradox of Choice

Procrastination

2 min read

Procrastination is the action of unnecessarily and voluntarily delaying or postponing something despite knowing that there will be negative consequences for doing so.

Cognitive Biases

/ Akrasia (weakness of will)

Time-Saving Bias

2 min read

The time-saving bias describes the tendency of people to misestimate the time that could be saved (or lost) when increasing (or decreasing) speed.

Cognitive Biases

/ Time-saving illusion