Projection Bias
5 min read
Assuming our future preferences will match our current ones.
Cognitive Biases
Tag
Explore 17 cognitive biases related to this topic.
5 min read
Assuming our future preferences will match our current ones.
Cognitive Biases
5 min read
Overemphasizing one aspect while ignoring others.
Cognitive Biases
/ Focusing Illusion
12 min read
Zero-risk bias is the tendency to prefer options that completely eliminate a small risk over options that achieve larger overall risk reductions but leave some risk remaining.
Cognitive Biases / Risk perception and trade-offs
/ All-or-Nothing Risk Bias
12 min read
Authority bias is the tendency to give greater weight and compliance to the opinions or requests of perceived authorities, sometimes at the expense of evidence or ethics.
Social Biases / Deference to authority
/ Obedience to Authority
12 min read
The bandwagon effect is the tendency to adopt beliefs or behaviors because many other people seem to hold them, increasing their perceived correctness or desirability.
Social Biases / Conformity and social proof
/ Herd Behavior
9 min read
Distinction bias is the tendency to overemphasize small differences between options when comparing them side by side, even though those differences matter little in isolation.
Cognitive Biases / Comparative evaluation
/ Joint Evaluation Bias
10 min read
Irrational escalation is the tendency to continue investing in a failing course of action because of past investments, even when changing direction would yield better outcomes.
Cognitive Biases / Commitment and consistency
/ Escalation of Commitment
10 min read
Commitment bias is the tendency to stick with past decisions or stated positions, even when they are no longer optimal, in order to appear consistent.
Cognitive Biases / Consistency and escalation
/ Escalation of commitment (related)
10 min read
Ambiguity aversion is the tendency to prefer known risks over unknown or poorly defined risks, even when the expected outcomes are similar.
Cognitive Biases / Risk and uncertainty
/ Uncertainty aversion
10 min read
Congruence bias is the tendency to test only one favored hypothesis and to ignore or underexplore alternative explanations.
Cognitive Biases / Hypothesis testing
/ Single-hypothesis bias
10 min read
The representativeness heuristic is the tendency to judge the probability of an event by how much it resembles a typical case, often ignoring base rates and statistical logic.
Cognitive Biases / Judgment heuristics
/ Similarity heuristic
2 min read
The affect heuristic is a mental shortcut where people make decisions and solve problems by relying heavily on their current emotional state.
Cognitive Biases
/ Affective bias
10 min read
Automation bias is the tendency to over-trust computer systems and automated recommendations, discounting or overlooking contradictory human judgment or real‑world evidence.
Cognitive Biases / Human–automation interaction
/ Over‑reliance on automation
9 min read
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) is the anxious feeling that others are having rewarding experiences without you, driving constant checking and overcommitment.
Cognitive Biases / Social comparison and anxiety
/ FOMO
2 min read
Neglect of probability is the tendency to completely disregard probability when making a decision under uncertainty.
Statistical Biases
/ Probability blindness
2 min read
The ambiguity effect is a cognitive bias where decision makers avoid options that are considered to be ambiguous or to have missing information.
Cognitive Biases
/ Ambiguity aversion
5 min read
We tend to favor information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore evidence that contradicts them.
Cognitive Biases
/ Confirmatory Bias